Conviction Markets

Margin desk

Open margin from real market prices.

Vault
Base Sepolia
Collateral
USDC
Markets
1
Wallet
--

Open margin

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Crypto
Details
Reference
12%
Exposure
Enter margin
Borrowed
Enter margin
Guard
9.8%

Enter outcome shares greater than zero.

Market flow

YES price candles

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Last trade
12c
Best bid
13c
Best ask
19c
Min order
5 contracts

Conviction renders synced price history inside the product. When history is unavailable, the chart shows only the latest stored bid, ask, and trade snapshot.

Conviction rules view

Market details and resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hyperliquid performs a second airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Category
Crypto
Resolution date
Pending
YES token
Mapped
NO token
Mapped

Conviction keeps upstream feed URLs internal. Users review rules, signals, margin, and vault risk inside this product.

Social layer

Turn the market into a public thesis.

Share the odds, publish a signal, or start the debate around this market. Conversations stay public; execution still requires the core API and wallet flow.

Lens
Crypto-native / Crypto
Signals
0
Market
Conviction

Signal desk

Publish the thesis behind the trade.

Signals are real Farcaster-sourced records tied to synced markets. They stay separate from execution until the core API confirms a live adapter.

Signal ticket12%
Focused market
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CryptoWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? 12%

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Signals

Market signals

No signals yet

The core API has no signals for this market.