Conviction Markets

Margin desk

Open margin from real market prices.

Vault
Base Sepolia
Collateral
USDC
Markets
1
Wallet
--

Open margin

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Politics
Details
Reference
0.2%
Exposure
Enter margin
Borrowed
Enter margin
Guard
0.2%

Enter outcome shares greater than zero.

Market flow

YES price candles

Loading
Loading market flow...
Last trade
0c
Best bid
0c
Best ask
0c
Min order
5 contracts

Conviction renders synced price history inside the product. When history is unavailable, the chart shows only the latest stored bid, ask, and trade snapshot.

Conviction rules view

Market details and resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Category
Politics
Resolution date
6/30/2026
YES token
Mapped
NO token
Mapped

Conviction keeps upstream feed URLs internal. Users review rules, signals, margin, and vault risk inside this product.

Social layer

Turn the market into a public thesis.

Share the odds, publish a signal, or start the debate around this market. Conversations stay public; execution still requires the core API and wallet flow.

Lens
Europe / Politics
Signals
0
Market
Conviction

Signal desk

Publish the thesis behind the trade.

Signals are real Farcaster-sourced records tied to synced markets. They stay separate from execution until the core API confirms a live adapter.

Signal ticket0.2%
Focused market
Farcaster traderConnecting...

Connecting Farcaster account...

PoliticsMacron out by June 30, 2026?0.2%

Connecting Farcaster account...

Signals

Market signals

No signals yet

The core API has no signals for this market.