Margin desk
Open margin from real market prices.
- Vault
- Base Sepolia
- Collateral
- USDC
- Markets
- 1
- Wallet
- --
Market flow
YES price candles
- Last trade
- 51c
- Best bid
- 51c
- Best ask
- 52c
- Min order
- 5 contracts
Conviction renders synced price history inside the product. When history is unavailable, the chart shows only the latest stored bid, ask, and trade snapshot.
Conviction rules view
Market details and resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rihanna officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
- Category
- What will happen before GTA VI?
- Resolution date
- 7/31/2026
- YES token
- Mapped
- NO token
- Mapped
Conviction keeps upstream feed URLs internal. Users review rules, signals, margin, and vault risk inside this product.
Signal desk
Publish the thesis behind the trade.
Signals are real Farcaster-sourced records tied to synced markets. They stay separate from execution until the core API confirms a live adapter.
Signals
Market signals
No signals yet
The core API has no signals for this market.