Market Flow
Multi-market YES odds flow
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Active market
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YES chance5.0%
NO chance95.0%
Last trade5.0%
Best bid0.6%
Best ask1.2%
Min order5 contracts
Market Tape
LIVE| Market | YES | Min |
|---|---|---|
| Morocco win the 2026 FI... | 2.8% | 5 |
| Switzerland win the 202... | 2.1% | 5 |
| Argentina win the 2026... | 20.1% | 5 |
| Norway win the 2026 FIF... | 6.0% | 5 |
| Half-Life 3 be announce... | 15.0% | 5 |
| Switzerland reach the S... | 25.8% | -- |
| no Fed rate cuts happen... | 79.0% | 5 |
| Norway reach the Semifi... | 35.0% | -- |
| England reach the Semif... | 65.0% | -- |
| Bruno Fernandes win the... | 0.1% | 5 |
| France reach the Semifi... | 78.0% | -- |
| Spain reach the Semifin... | 76.0% | -- |
| Mohamed Salah win the 2... | 0.2% | 5 |
| Lamine Yamal win the 20... | 7.0% | 5 |
| any country leave NATO... | 4.5% | 5 |
| Valve add Cache to the... | 99.0% | 5 |
| OpenAI not IPO by Decem... | 79.0% | 5 |
| LNG Esports win the LPL... | 0.1% | 5 |
Conviction marketPoliticsUnited States
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by July 31?
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5.0% YES
95.0% NO
Event Details
Resolution summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
- Category
- Politics
- Region
- United States
- Topic
- Politics
- Resolution
- Jul 31, 2026
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