Market Flow
Multi-market YES odds flow
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Active market
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YES chance5.2%
NO chance94.8%
Last trade5.2%
Best bid0.2%
Best ask0.7%
Min order5 contracts
Market Tape
LIVE| Market | YES | Min |
|---|---|---|
| Morocco win the 2026 FI... | 2.8% | 5 |
| Switzerland win the 202... | 2.1% | 5 |
| Argentina win the 2026... | 20.1% | 5 |
| Norway win the 2026 FIF... | 6.0% | 5 |
| Half-Life 3 be announce... | 15.0% | 5 |
| Switzerland reach the S... | 25.8% | -- |
| no Fed rate cuts happen... | 79.0% | 5 |
| Norway reach the Semifi... | 35.0% | -- |
| England reach the Semif... | 65.0% | -- |
| Bruno Fernandes win the... | 0.1% | 5 |
| France reach the Semifi... | 78.0% | -- |
| Spain reach the Semifin... | 76.0% | -- |
| Mohamed Salah win the 2... | 0.2% | 5 |
| Lamine Yamal win the 20... | 7.0% | 5 |
| any country leave NATO... | 4.5% | 5 |
| Valve add Cache to the... | 99.0% | 5 |
| OpenAI not IPO by Decem... | 79.0% | 5 |
| LNG Esports win the LPL... | 0.1% | 5 |
Conviction marketPoliticsEurope
Macron out by July 31, 2026?
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5.2% YES
94.8% NO
Event Details
Resolution summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Category
- Politics
- Region
- Europe
- Topic
- Politics
- Resolution
- Jul 31, 2026
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