Market Flow
YES odds flow
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YES chance0.8%
NO chance99.2%
Last trade0.8%
Best bid1.5%
Best ask29.9%
Min order5 contracts
Market Tape
LIVE| Market | YES | Min |
|---|---|---|
| Canada win the 2026 FIF... | 0.4% | 5 |
| Switzerland win the 202... | 0.8% | 5 |
| Ivory Coast win the 202... | 0.3% | 5 |
| Mexico win the 2026 FIF... | 1.6% | 5 |
| Norway win the 2026 FIF... | 2.8% | 5 |
| Senegal win the 2026 FI... | 0.2% | 5 |
| Colombia win the 2026 F... | 1.5% | 5 |
| Series: Anyone's Legend... | 99.9% | 5 |
| Wes Moore win the 2028... | 0.8% | 5 |
| Starmer out by June 30,... | 67.0% | 5 |
| Claudio Tapia out as AF... | 1.0% | 5 |
| Göztepe SK vs. Çaykur R... | 0.9% | 5 |
| France win Group I in t... | 79.0% | 5 |
| Norway win Group I in t... | 21.0% | 5 |
| Morocco win Group C in... | 33.0% | 5 |
| Egypt win Group G in th... | 64.0% | 5 |
| Jasmine Crockett win th... | 0.7% | 5 |
| a team from LCP (Asia-P... | 0.4% | 5 |
Conviction marketGeopoliticsUnited States
US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?
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0.8% YES
99.2% NO
Event Details
Resolution summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Somaliland as an independent state by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only the U.S. government's formal recognition of Somaliland as an independent state will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Region
- United States
- Topic
- Geopolitics
- Resolution
- Dec 31, 2025
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