Market Tape

LIVE
MarketYESMin
Pump.fun perform an air...4.2%5
Ukraine election called...2.7%5
OpenAI not IPO by Decem...95.4%5
7 Fed rate cuts happen...0.1%5
any country leave NATO...4.1%5
OpenAI launch a new con...20.0%5
MoistCr1TiKaL get a hai...1.0%5
Half-Life 3 be announce...18.0%5
a team from LCS (North...0.7%5
a team from LEC (Europe...1.4%5
US recession by end of...6.0%5
Hyperliquid perform an...26.0%5
Mike Johnson out as Spe...10.0%5
Ukraine recognizes Russ...1.7%5
NATO/EU troops fighting...5.7%5
Ukraine election held b...2.0%5
China x India military...8.0%5
SCOTUS accepts sports e...13.0%5
Conviction marketCryptoCrypto-native

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Review the event and pricing before requesting margin

4.2% YES
95.8% NO

Market Flow

Multi-market YES odds flow

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Active market
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YES chance4.2%
NO chance95.8%
Last trade4.2%
Best bid3.2%
Best ask11.8%
Min order5 contracts

Event Details

Resolution summary

LIVE

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Category
Crypto
Region
Crypto-native
Topic
Crypto
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027

Margin Request

▼
5X
1X1X3X Max

Public trades appear in Market Pulse for followers. Private trades stay in your portfolio.

USDC
Vault balance: 0.00 USDC
Outcome:YES
Your collateral:$0.00
Vault liquidity used:$0.00
Total position size:$0.00
Estimated shares:--
Visibility:PRIVATE
Liquidation trigger:3.6%

Vault deposits form the liquidity pool. Traders use their deposited balance as collateral, then borrow extra pool liquidity for leverage. Vault depositors earn yield from fees and risk premiums as the system matures.

Markets20
NetworkTESTNET
ModeRequest