Market Tape

LIVE
MarketYESMin
Canada win the 2026 FIF...0.4%5
Switzerland win the 202...0.8%5
Ivory Coast win the 202...0.3%5
Mexico win the 2026 FIF...1.6%5
Norway win the 2026 FIF...2.8%5
Senegal win the 2026 FI...0.2%5
Colombia win the 2026 F...1.5%5
Series: Anyone's Legend...99.9%5
Wes Moore win the 2028...0.8%5
Starmer out by June 30,...67.0%5
Claudio Tapia out as AF...1.0%5
Göztepe SK vs. Çaykur R...0.9%5
France win Group I in t...79.0%5
Norway win Group I in t...21.0%5
Morocco win Group C in...33.0%5
Egypt win Group G in th...64.0%5
Jasmine Crockett win th...0.7%5
a team from LCP (Asia-P...0.4%5
Conviction marketTechGlobal

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Review the event and pricing before requesting margin

2.6% YES
97.4% NO

Market Flow

YES odds flow

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YES chance2.6%
NO chance97.4%
Last trade2.6%
Best bid1.3%
Best ask2.4%
Min order5 contracts

Event Details

Resolution summary

LIVE

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Category
Tech
Region
Global
Topic
Tech
Resolution
Jun 30, 2026

Margin Request

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5X
1X5X10X Max

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USDC
Vault balance: 0.00 USDC
Outcome:YES
Your collateral:$0.00
Vault liquidity used:$0.00
Total position size:$0.00
Estimated shares:--
Visibility:PRIVATE
Liquidation trigger:2.2%

Vault deposits form the liquidity pool. Traders use their deposited balance as collateral, then borrow extra pool liquidity for leverage. Vault depositors earn yield from fees and risk premiums as the system matures.

Markets222
NetworkTESTNET
ModeRequest