Market Flow
Multi-market YES odds flow
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Active market
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YES chance10.0%
NO chance90.0%
Last trade10.0%
Best bid10.0%
Best ask12.0%
Min order5 contracts
Market Tape
LIVE| Market | YES | Min |
|---|---|---|
| ThunderTalk Gaming win... | 0.3% | 5 |
| any country leave NATO... | 3.2% | 5 |
| Freecs win the LCK 2026... | 0.1% | 5 |
| Ukraine election held b... | 6.0% | 5 |
| Half-Life 3 be announce... | 20.0% | 5 |
| Lionel Messi win the 20... | 2.5% | 5 |
| Harry Kane win the 2026... | 61.2% | 5 |
| Jude Bellingham win the... | 0.1% | 5 |
| Lamine Yamal win the 20... | 15.8% | 5 |
| 7 Fed rate cuts happen... | 0.1% | 5 |
| Trump eliminates capita... | 3.3% | 5 |
| OpenAI not IPO by Decem... | 80.0% | 5 |
| OpenAI launch a new con... | 10.0% | 5 |
| Team WE win the LPL 202... | 1.7% | 5 |
| Kraken IPO by December... | 11.0% | 5 |
| Anyone's Legend win the... | 15.0% | 5 |
| MoistCr1TiKaL get a hai... | 4.0% | 5 |
| Mike Johnson out as Spe... | 9.0% | 5 |
Conviction marketTechGlobal
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Review the event and pricing before requesting margin
10.0% YES
90.0% NO
Event Details
Resolution summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
- Category
- Tech
- Region
- Global
- Topic
- Tech
- Resolution
- Dec 31, 2026
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