Market Flow
YES odds flow
Loading
Loading odds flow...
YES chance44.0%
NO chance56.0%
Last trade44.0%
Best bid44.0%
Best ask70.0%
Min order5 contracts
Market Tape
LIVE| Market | YES | Min |
|---|---|---|
| Canada win the 2026 FIF... | 0.4% | 5 |
| Switzerland win the 202... | 0.8% | 5 |
| Ivory Coast win the 202... | 0.3% | 5 |
| Mexico win the 2026 FIF... | 1.6% | 5 |
| Norway win the 2026 FIF... | 2.8% | 5 |
| Senegal win the 2026 FI... | 0.2% | 5 |
| Colombia win the 2026 F... | 1.5% | 5 |
| Series: Anyone's Legend... | 99.9% | 5 |
| Wes Moore win the 2028... | 0.8% | 5 |
| Starmer out by June 30,... | 67.0% | 5 |
| Claudio Tapia out as AF... | 1.0% | 5 |
| Göztepe SK vs. Çaykur R... | 0.9% | 5 |
| France win Group I in t... | 79.0% | 5 |
| Norway win Group I in t... | 21.0% | 5 |
| Morocco win Group C in... | 33.0% | 5 |
| Egypt win Group G in th... | 64.0% | 5 |
| Jasmine Crockett win th... | 0.7% | 5 |
| a team from LCP (Asia-P... | 0.4% | 5 |
Conviction marketTechGlobal
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Review the event and pricing before requesting margin
44.0% YES
56.0% NO
Event Details
Resolution summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
- Category
- Tech
- Region
- Global
- Topic
- Tech
- Resolution
- Dec 31, 2026
Vault deposits form the liquidity pool. Traders use their deposited balance as collateral, then borrow extra pool liquidity for leverage. Vault depositors earn yield from fees and risk premiums as the system matures.