Market Flow
YES odds flow
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YES chance14.0%
NO chance86.0%
Last trade14.0%
Best bid16.0%
Best ask22.0%
Min order5 contracts
Market Tape
LIVE| Market | YES | Min |
|---|---|---|
| Canada win the 2026 FIF... | 0.4% | 5 |
| Switzerland win the 202... | 0.8% | 5 |
| Ivory Coast win the 202... | 0.3% | 5 |
| Mexico win the 2026 FIF... | 1.6% | 5 |
| Norway win the 2026 FIF... | 2.8% | 5 |
| Senegal win the 2026 FI... | 0.2% | 5 |
| Colombia win the 2026 F... | 1.5% | 5 |
| Series: Anyone's Legend... | 99.9% | 5 |
| Wes Moore win the 2028... | 0.8% | 5 |
| Starmer out by June 30,... | 67.0% | 5 |
| Claudio Tapia out as AF... | 1.0% | 5 |
| Göztepe SK vs. Çaykur R... | 0.9% | 5 |
| France win Group I in t... | 79.0% | 5 |
| Norway win Group I in t... | 21.0% | 5 |
| Morocco win Group C in... | 33.0% | 5 |
| Egypt win Group G in th... | 64.0% | 5 |
| Jasmine Crockett win th... | 0.7% | 5 |
| a team from LCP (Asia-P... | 0.4% | 5 |
Conviction marketCryptoCrypto-native
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?
Review the event and pricing before requesting margin
14.0% YES
86.0% NO
Event Details
Resolution summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holdings officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.
- Category
- Crypto
- Region
- Crypto-native
- Topic
- Crypto
- Resolution
- Jan 1, 2027
Vault deposits form the liquidity pool. Traders use their deposited balance as collateral, then borrow extra pool liquidity for leverage. Vault depositors earn yield from fees and risk premiums as the system matures.