Market Flow
Multi-market YES odds flow
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Active market
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YES chance9.0%
NO chance91.0%
Last trade9.0%
Best bid8.0%
Best ask10.0%
Min order5 contracts
Market Tape
LIVE| Market | YES | Min |
|---|---|---|
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| Lionel Messi win the 20... | 2.5% | 5 |
| Harry Kane win the 2026... | 61.2% | 5 |
| Jude Bellingham win the... | 0.1% | 5 |
| Lamine Yamal win the 20... | 15.8% | 5 |
| 7 Fed rate cuts happen... | 0.1% | 5 |
| Trump eliminates capita... | 3.3% | 5 |
| OpenAI not IPO by Decem... | 80.0% | 5 |
| OpenAI launch a new con... | 10.0% | 5 |
| Team WE win the LPL 202... | 1.7% | 5 |
| Kraken IPO by December... | 11.0% | 5 |
| Anyone's Legend win the... | 15.0% | 5 |
| MoistCr1TiKaL get a hai... | 4.0% | 5 |
| Mike Johnson out as Spe... | 9.0% | 5 |
Conviction marketPoliticsUnited States
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
Review the event and pricing before requesting margin
9.0% YES
91.0% NO
Event Details
Resolution summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
- Category
- Politics
- Region
- United States
- Topic
- Politics
- Resolution
- Dec 31, 2026
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