Market Tape

LIVE
MarketYESMin
Ukraine election held b...6.3%5
China x India military...8.0%5
Pump.fun perform an air...4.2%5
Ukraine recognizes Russ...1.7%5
OpenAI not IPO by Decem...94.7%5
Trump eliminates capita...4.2%5
OpenAI launch a new con...18.0%5
7 Fed rate cuts happen...0.1%5
any country leave NATO...6.7%5
Half-Life 3 be announce...18.0%5
MoistCr1TiKaL get a hai...1.0%5
US recession by end of...7.0%5
Hyperliquid perform an...35.0%5
a team from CBLOL (Braz...0.2%5
Mike Johnson out as Spe...9.0%5
Hyperliquid perform an...26.0%5
a team from LEC (Europe...2.0%5
SCOTUS accepts sports e...18.0%5
Conviction marketPoliticsUnited States

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

Review the event and pricing before requesting margin

9.0% YES
91.0% NO

Market Flow

Multi-market YES odds flow

Loading
Active market
Loading odds flow...
YES chance9.0%
NO chance91.0%
Last trade9.0%
Best bid9.0%
Best ask10.0%
Min order5 contracts

Event Details

Resolution summary

LIVE

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Category
Politics
Region
United States
Topic
Politics
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027

Margin Request

▼
5X
1X1X3X Max

Public trades appear in Market Pulse for followers. Private trades stay in your portfolio.

USDC
Vault balance: 0.00 USDC
Outcome:YES
Your collateral:$0.00
Vault liquidity used:$0.00
Total position size:$0.00
Estimated shares:--
Visibility:PRIVATE
Liquidation trigger:7.7%

Vault deposits form the liquidity pool. Traders use their deposited balance as collateral, then borrow extra pool liquidity for leverage. Vault depositors earn yield from fees and risk premiums as the system matures.

Markets21
NetworkTESTNET
ModeRequest