Market Flow
Multi-market YES odds flow
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Active market
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YES chance42.0%
NO chance58.0%
Last trade42.0%
Best bid38.0%
Best ask39.0%
Min order5 contracts
Market Tape
LIVE| Market | YES | Min |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Fed rate cuts happen... | 0.1% | 5 |
| Jude Bellingham win the... | 0.1% | 5 |
| any country leave NATO... | 1.6% | 5 |
| Half-Life 3 be announce... | 24.0% | 5 |
| Lamine Yamal win the 20... | 24.0% | 5 |
| Lionel Messi win the 20... | 4.3% | 5 |
| Harry Kane win the 2026... | 56.1% | 5 |
| OpenAI not IPO by Decem... | 96.0% | 5 |
| Trump eliminates capita... | 1.8% | 5 |
| Kraken IPO by December... | 5.8% | 5 |
| OpenAI launch a new con... | 20.0% | 5 |
| MoistCr1TiKaL get a hai... | 4.0% | 5 |
| US recession by end of... | 10.0% | 5 |
| Mike Johnson out as Spe... | 10.0% | 5 |
| Ukraine election held b... | 1.2% | 5 |
| a team from LEC (Europe... | 4.8% | 5 |
| a team from LCP (Asia-P... | 0.2% | 5 |
| a team from LCS (North... | 1.9% | 5 |
Conviction marketSportsUnited States
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
Review the event and pricing before requesting margin
42.0% YES
58.0% NO
Event Details
Resolution summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities. The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
- Category
- Sports
- Region
- United States
- Topic
- Sports
- Resolution
- Jan 1, 2027
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