Conviction Markets

Margin desk

Open margin from real market prices.

Vault
Base Sepolia
Collateral
USDC
Markets
1
Wallet
--

Open margin

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

Crypto
Details
Reference
3.4%
Exposure
Enter margin
Borrowed
Enter margin
Guard
2.8%

Enter outcome shares greater than zero.

Market flow

YES price candles

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Last trade
3c
Best bid
3c
Best ask
3c
Min order
5 contracts

Conviction renders synced price history inside the product. When history is unavailable, the chart shows only the latest stored bid, ask, and trade snapshot.

Conviction rules view

Market details and resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market. If capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Category
Crypto
Resolution date
1/1/2027
YES token
Mapped
NO token
Mapped

Conviction keeps upstream feed URLs internal. Users review rules, signals, margin, and vault risk inside this product.

Social layer

Turn the market into a public thesis.

Share the odds, publish a signal, or start the debate around this market. Conversations stay public; execution still requires the core API and wallet flow.

Lens
United States / Geopolitics
Signals
0
Market
Conviction

Signal desk

Publish the thesis behind the trade.

Signals are real Farcaster-sourced records tied to synced markets. They stay separate from execution until the core API confirms a live adapter.

Signal ticket3.4%
Focused market
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CryptoTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?3.4%

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Signals

Market signals

No signals yet

The core API has no signals for this market.