Market Flow
Multi-market YES odds flow
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Active market
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YES chance1.8%
NO chance98.2%
Last trade1.8%
Best bid1.6%
Best ask1.8%
Min order5 contracts
Market Tape
LIVE| Market | YES | Min |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Fed rate cuts happen... | 0.1% | 5 |
| Jude Bellingham win the... | 0.1% | 5 |
| any country leave NATO... | 1.6% | 5 |
| Half-Life 3 be announce... | 24.0% | 5 |
| Lamine Yamal win the 20... | 24.0% | 5 |
| Lionel Messi win the 20... | 4.3% | 5 |
| Harry Kane win the 2026... | 56.1% | 5 |
| OpenAI not IPO by Decem... | 96.0% | 5 |
| Trump eliminates capita... | 1.8% | 5 |
| Kraken IPO by December... | 5.8% | 5 |
| OpenAI launch a new con... | 20.0% | 5 |
| MoistCr1TiKaL get a hai... | 4.0% | 5 |
| US recession by end of... | 10.0% | 5 |
| Mike Johnson out as Spe... | 10.0% | 5 |
| Ukraine election held b... | 1.2% | 5 |
| a team from LEC (Europe... | 4.8% | 5 |
| a team from LCP (Asia-P... | 0.2% | 5 |
| a team from LCS (North... | 1.9% | 5 |
Conviction marketCryptoCrypto-native
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
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1.8% YES
98.2% NO
Event Details
Resolution summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market. If capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Category
- Crypto
- Region
- Crypto-native
- Topic
- Crypto
- Resolution
- Jan 1, 2027
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