Margin desk
Open margin from real market prices.
- Vault
- Base Sepolia
- Collateral
- USDC
- Markets
- 1
- Wallet
- --
Market flow
YES price candles
- Last trade
- 3c
- Best bid
- 5c
- Best ask
- 5c
- Min order
- 5 contracts
Conviction renders synced price history inside the product. When history is unavailable, the chart shows only the latest stored bid, ask, and trade snapshot.
Conviction rules view
Market details and resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution date
- 12/31/2026
- YES token
- Mapped
- NO token
- Mapped
Conviction keeps upstream feed URLs internal. Users review rules, signals, margin, and vault risk inside this product.
Signal desk
Publish the thesis behind the trade.
Signals are real Farcaster-sourced records tied to synced markets. They stay separate from execution until the core API confirms a live adapter.
Signals
Market signals
No signals yet
The core API has no signals for this market.