Market Tape

LIVE
MarketYESMin
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any country leave NATO...2.3%5
Ukraine election held b...5.0%5
Team WE win the LPL 202...10.0%5
Pump.fun perform an air...10.0%5
Harry Kane win the 2026...51.6%5
OpenAI launch a new con...44.0%5
Jude Bellingham win the...0.4%5
Lamine Yamal win the 20...21.5%5
Lionel Messi win the 20...3.4%5
7 Fed rate cuts happen...0.2%5
Trump eliminates capita...4.9%5
a team from CBLOL (Braz...0.2%5
OpenAI not IPO by Decem...83.0%5
Anyone's Legend win the...18.0%5
MoistCr1TiKaL get a hai...85.0%5
Kraken IPO by December...19.0%5
Half-Life 3 be announce...23.0%5
Conviction marketGeopoliticsGlobal

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

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23.0% YES
77.0% NO

Market Flow

Multi-market YES odds flow

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Active market
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YES chance23.0%
NO chance77.0%
Last trade23.0%
Best bid22.0%
Best ask23.0%
Min order5 contracts

Event Details

Resolution summary

LIVE

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that Half-Life 3 is in production by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "Half-Life 3" (e.g., Half-Life: Alyx, Half-Life 2: Episode One) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The game must have the words "Half-Life 3" in the title to qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.

Category
General
Region
Global
Topic
Geopolitics
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026

Margin Request

▼
5X
1X1X3X Max

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USDC
Vault balance: 0.00 USDC
Outcome:YES
Your collateral:$0.00
Vault liquidity used:$0.00
Total position size:$0.00
Estimated shares:--
Visibility:PRIVATE
Liquidation trigger:19.8%

Vault deposits form the liquidity pool. Traders use their deposited balance as collateral, then borrow extra pool liquidity for leverage. Vault depositors earn yield from fees and risk premiums as the system matures.

Markets34
NetworkTESTNET
ModeRequest