Market Tape

LIVE
MarketYESMin
7 Fed rate cuts happen...0.1%5
Jude Bellingham win the...0.1%5
any country leave NATO...1.6%5
Half-Life 3 be announce...24.0%5
Lamine Yamal win the 20...24.0%5
Lionel Messi win the 20...4.3%5
Harry Kane win the 2026...56.1%5
OpenAI not IPO by Decem...96.0%5
Trump eliminates capita...1.8%5
Kraken IPO by December...5.8%5
OpenAI launch a new con...20.0%5
MoistCr1TiKaL get a hai...4.0%5
US recession by end of...10.0%5
Mike Johnson out as Spe...10.0%5
Ukraine election held b...1.2%5
a team from LEC (Europe...4.8%5
a team from LCP (Asia-P...0.2%5
a team from LCS (North...1.9%5
Conviction marketGeopoliticsGlobal

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

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24.0% YES
76.0% NO

Market Flow

Multi-market YES odds flow

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Active market
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YES chance24.0%
NO chance76.0%
Last trade24.0%
Best bid16.0%
Best ask19.0%
Min order5 contracts

Event Details

Resolution summary

LIVE

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that Half-Life 3 is in production by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "Half-Life 3" (e.g., Half-Life: Alyx, Half-Life 2: Episode One) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The game must have the words "Half-Life 3" in the title to qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.

Category
General
Region
Global
Topic
Geopolitics
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027

Margin Request

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5X
1X1X3X Max

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USDC
Vault balance: 0.00 USDC
Outcome:YES
Your collateral:$0.00
Vault liquidity used:$0.00
Total position size:$0.00
Estimated shares:--
Visibility:PRIVATE
Liquidation trigger:20.6%

Vault deposits form the liquidity pool. Traders use their deposited balance as collateral, then borrow extra pool liquidity for leverage. Vault depositors earn yield from fees and risk premiums as the system matures.

Markets27
NetworkTESTNET
ModeRequest