Market Flow
Multi-market YES odds flow
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Active market
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YES chance0.1%
NO chance99.9%
Last trade0.1%
Best bidPending
Best ask0.1%
Min order5 contracts
Market Tape
LIVE| Market | YES | Min |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Fed rate cuts happen... | 0.1% | 5 |
| Jude Bellingham win the... | 0.1% | 5 |
| any country leave NATO... | 1.6% | 5 |
| Half-Life 3 be announce... | 24.0% | 5 |
| Lamine Yamal win the 20... | 24.6% | 5 |
| Lionel Messi win the 20... | 4.4% | 5 |
| a team from LCS (North... | 1.9% | 5 |
| Harry Kane win the 2026... | 56.1% | 5 |
| OpenAI not IPO by Decem... | 96.0% | 5 |
| Trump eliminates capita... | 1.8% | 5 |
| Kraken IPO by December... | 5.8% | 5 |
| OpenAI launch a new con... | 20.0% | 5 |
| MoistCr1TiKaL get a hai... | 4.0% | 5 |
| US recession by end of... | 10.0% | 5 |
| Mike Johnson out as Spe... | 10.0% | 5 |
| Ukraine election held b... | 1.2% | 5 |
| a team from LEC (Europe... | 5.2% | 5 |
| Ukraine election called... | 9.0% | 5 |
Conviction marketFinanceGlobal
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Review the event and pricing before requesting margin
0.1% YES
99.9% NO
Event Details
Resolution summary
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
- Category
- Finance
- Region
- Global
- Topic
- Finance
- Resolution
- Dec 31, 2026
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